Predictive Methods and Devices for K-Line Analysis

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Introduction to the Invention

To address existing technical challenges, this invention provides a method and device for predicting K-line (candlestick chart) patterns in financial markets. The technical solution is outlined as follows:

First Aspect: Predictive Method for K-Line Patterns

The method comprises:

  1. Data Acquisition: The server collects K-line data for a target financial product during:

    • The current matching period
    • Multiple historical matching periods (all periods having identical duration)
  2. Similarity Calculation: The server computes similarity scores between:

    • Current period K-line data
    • Each historical period's K-line data
  3. Target Period Selection: Based on similarity scores, the server selects the most relevant historical matching period as the target reference period.
  4. Prediction Execution: Using the K-line data from:

    • The prediction period following the target historical period (m time units after its conclusion)
      The server forecasts K-line data for:
    • The prediction period following the current period (m time units after its conclusion)

Where m represents a positive integer time increment.

Key Technical Features

  1. Similarity Parameters may include:

    • Candlestick body similarity
    • Upper/lower shadow similarity
    • Bollinger Band® similarity
  2. Advanced Selection Process:

    • Primary filtering by similarity threshold
    • Secondary filtering by extremum point distribution patterns
    • Final selection of highest-similarity candidate
  3. Prediction Output includes:

    • Generated forecast information for trader reference
    • Optional accuracy evaluation parameters assessing prediction reliability

Second Aspect: Predictive K-Line Device

The device implementation comprises:

Technical Advantages

This automated solution:

Detailed Implementation

Core Method Workflow

  1. Data Collection Phase

    • Gathers complete K-line datasets including:

      • Open/close/high/low prices
      • Bollinger Band® indicators (upper, middle, lower)
    • Supports various financial products:

      • Precious metals (gold, silver)
      • Energy commodities
      • Equities and derivatives
  2. Pattern Matching Engine

    • Employs advanced similarity algorithms:

      • Pearson correlation coefficients
      • Euclidean distance metrics
      • Cosine similarity calculations
    • Multi-parameter analysis:

      similarity_score = 0.99*body_similarity + 
                         0.005*upper_shadow_similarity + 
                         0.005*lower_shadow_similarity
  3. Prediction Generation

    • Projects historical prediction period patterns onto current timeline
    • Example: If historical 3-day prediction followed 10-day pattern in 2015, applies same projection to current 10-day pattern
  4. Output Optimization

    • Generates trading signals:

      • Price movement direction indicators
      • Entry/exit strategy suggestions
      • Expected price fluctuation ranges

Accuracy Enhancement Features

  1. Parameter Optimization

    • Automated testing of multiple parameter sets:

      • Period lengths
      • Similarity thresholds
      • Pattern constraints
    • Selects highest-performing parameter combination
  2. Performance Validation

    • Multiple accuracy metrics:

      • Direction prediction accuracy
      • Entry timing precision
      • Profit potential estimation
  3. Continuous Improvement

    • Learning mechanism stores successful predictions
    • Refines future similarity calculations

Practical Applications

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Typical Use Cases

  1. Trend Prediction

    • Identifies probable price movements
    • Flags potential reversal points
  2. Volatility Forecasting

    • Estimates likely price ranges
    • Calculates Bollinger Band® expansion/contraction
  3. Risk Management

    • Provides statistically validated trading signals
    • Quantifies prediction confidence levels

FAQ Section

Q: How does this method compare to traditional technical analysis?
A: It automates pattern recognition while maintaining interpretability, combining quantitative rigor with actionable trading insights.

Q: What timeframes work best with this approach?
A: The system adapts to any timeframe (minutes to months), with optimization determining ideal period lengths for each asset.

Q: How frequently should the prediction parameters be updated?
A: Regular recalibration is recommended, particularly during market regime changes, with automated optimization available.

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Q: Can this predict cryptocurrency price movements?
A: Yes, the methodology applies equally to crypto markets, with parameter optimization recommended for each digital asset.

Q: What hardware requirements exist for running these predictions?
A: Standard server configurations suffice for individual assets, with scalable solutions available for portfolio-wide analysis.

Q: How quickly can the system identify new patterns?
A: The automated learning process continuously incorporates new data, typically recognizing emerging patterns within 2-3 cycles.