Introduction to the Invention
To address existing technical challenges, this invention provides a method and device for predicting K-line (candlestick chart) patterns in financial markets. The technical solution is outlined as follows:
First Aspect: Predictive Method for K-Line Patterns
The method comprises:
Data Acquisition: The server collects K-line data for a target financial product during:
- The current matching period
- Multiple historical matching periods (all periods having identical duration)
Similarity Calculation: The server computes similarity scores between:
- Current period K-line data
- Each historical period's K-line data
- Target Period Selection: Based on similarity scores, the server selects the most relevant historical matching period as the target reference period.
Prediction Execution: Using the K-line data from:
- The prediction period following the target historical period (m time units after its conclusion)
The server forecasts K-line data for: - The prediction period following the current period (m time units after its conclusion)
- The prediction period following the target historical period (m time units after its conclusion)
Where m represents a positive integer time increment.
Key Technical Features
Similarity Parameters may include:
- Candlestick body similarity
- Upper/lower shadow similarity
- Bollinger Band® similarity
Advanced Selection Process:
- Primary filtering by similarity threshold
- Secondary filtering by extremum point distribution patterns
- Final selection of highest-similarity candidate
Prediction Output includes:
- Generated forecast information for trader reference
- Optional accuracy evaluation parameters assessing prediction reliability
Second Aspect: Predictive K-Line Device
The device implementation comprises:
- Data acquisition module
- Similarity computation module
- Period selection module
- Data prediction module
- Optional information generation and accuracy evaluation modules
Technical Advantages
This automated solution:
- Reduces reliance on subjective human analysis
- Enhances prediction accuracy through quantitative pattern matching
- Provides actionable trading insights based on historical pattern recurrence
- Offers measurable prediction quality assessment
Detailed Implementation
Core Method Workflow
Data Collection Phase
Gathers complete K-line datasets including:
- Open/close/high/low prices
- Bollinger Band® indicators (upper, middle, lower)
Supports various financial products:
- Precious metals (gold, silver)
- Energy commodities
- Equities and derivatives
Pattern Matching Engine
Employs advanced similarity algorithms:
- Pearson correlation coefficients
- Euclidean distance metrics
- Cosine similarity calculations
Multi-parameter analysis:
similarity_score = 0.99*body_similarity + 0.005*upper_shadow_similarity + 0.005*lower_shadow_similarity
Prediction Generation
- Projects historical prediction period patterns onto current timeline
- Example: If historical 3-day prediction followed 10-day pattern in 2015, applies same projection to current 10-day pattern
Output Optimization
Generates trading signals:
- Price movement direction indicators
- Entry/exit strategy suggestions
- Expected price fluctuation ranges
Accuracy Enhancement Features
Parameter Optimization
Automated testing of multiple parameter sets:
- Period lengths
- Similarity thresholds
- Pattern constraints
- Selects highest-performing parameter combination
Performance Validation
Multiple accuracy metrics:
- Direction prediction accuracy
- Entry timing precision
- Profit potential estimation
Continuous Improvement
- Learning mechanism stores successful predictions
- Refines future similarity calculations
Practical Applications
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Typical Use Cases
Trend Prediction
- Identifies probable price movements
- Flags potential reversal points
Volatility Forecasting
- Estimates likely price ranges
- Calculates Bollinger Band® expansion/contraction
Risk Management
- Provides statistically validated trading signals
- Quantifies prediction confidence levels
FAQ Section
Q: How does this method compare to traditional technical analysis?
A: It automates pattern recognition while maintaining interpretability, combining quantitative rigor with actionable trading insights.
Q: What timeframes work best with this approach?
A: The system adapts to any timeframe (minutes to months), with optimization determining ideal period lengths for each asset.
Q: How frequently should the prediction parameters be updated?
A: Regular recalibration is recommended, particularly during market regime changes, with automated optimization available.
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Q: Can this predict cryptocurrency price movements?
A: Yes, the methodology applies equally to crypto markets, with parameter optimization recommended for each digital asset.
Q: What hardware requirements exist for running these predictions?
A: Standard server configurations suffice for individual assets, with scalable solutions available for portfolio-wide analysis.
Q: How quickly can the system identify new patterns?
A: The automated learning process continuously incorporates new data, typically recognizing emerging patterns within 2-3 cycles.