Author: Chuanwei Zou, Director of Frontier Finance Research Center at Shanghai Finance and Development Laboratory
Executive Summary
Tokenization represents a cutting-edge frontier in digital finance with growing implications across academic, commercial, and policy spheres. This article introduces a three-dimensional framework—feasibility ("can it be tokenized?"), necessity ("why tokenize?"), and methodology ("how to tokenize?")—to evaluate tokenization's viability. Additionally, it assesses asset-class compatibility through five lenses: form of existence, property rights verification, holding methods, trading/settlement mechanisms, and regulatory requirements. The analysis covers tokenization prospects for monetary assets, securities, funds/investment products, and real-world assets (RWAs), concluding with policy recommendations.
Research Background
Tokenization refers to representing off-chain assets via blockchain-based tokens, where token transfers symbolize asset transactions (Aldasoro et al., 2023). While theoretically all asset types can be tokenized, practical adoption varies widely.
Early Successes and Trends
- Monetary Tokenization: Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), tokenized deposits, and stablecoins dominate. BIS reports 94% of central banks are exploring CBDCs (Di lorio et al., 2024). Stablecoins like USDT now command a $1.71 trillion market cap (DeFiLlama, 2024).
- Securities: Trials include Nasdaq’s Linq (2015), World Bank’s Bond-i (2018), and Hong Kong’s tokenized green bonds (2023).
- RWAs: Projects like Ant Group’s tokenized EV charging stations (2024) highlight utility in non-liquid assets, with BCG projecting a $16 trillion tokenized RWA market by 2030.
Institutional Visions
BIS’s "Unified Ledger" (2023) and Finternet (Carstens & Nilekani, 2024) conceptualize interoperable tokenized ecosystems for CBDCs, securities, and RWAs.
Tokenization Evaluation Framework
Three Key Dimensions
Feasibility ("Can It Be Tokenized?")
- Resolves "trusted on-chain asset representation"—ensuring authenticity and value alignment between off-chain assets and on-chain tokens.
Necessity ("Why Tokenize?")
- Benefits: Lower holding thresholds, broader investor access, enhanced liquidity, programmable use cases.
- Market Needs: Fundraising, investor exits, asset diversification, infrastructure modernization.
- Competitive Edge: Must offer unique advantages over traditional systems.
Methodology ("How to Tokenize?")
- Ownership Tokenization: Tokens represent asset ownership (e.g., property deeds).
- Revenue Rights Tokenization: Tokens securitize cash flows (e.g., income-sharing tokens), often classified as securities.
Five Compatibility Criteria
- Form of Existence: Digital assets tokenize more smoothly than physical ones.
- Property Rights Verification: Ranges from "possession equals ownership" (e.g., cash) to registry-based systems (e.g., real estate).
- Holding Methods: Custody solutions often preferred over self-custody due to regulatory and security concerns.
- Trading/Settlement: Centralized exchanges suit standardized assets; OTC markets handle non-standardized ones.
- Regulatory Requirements: KYC/AML compliance, investor eligibility (e.g., accredited vs. retail), and jurisdictional restrictions.
Four-Step Assessment Process
- Asset-to-Token Mapping: Resolve on-chain trust issues.
- Investor Eligibility: Define holder base and custody preferences.
- Trading Mechanisms: Design P2P or exchange-based models.
- Value Proposition: Validate commercial viability and infrastructure improvements.
Tokenization Prospects by Asset Class
1. Monetary Tokenization
- Stablecoins: Dominated by USD-pegged variants (e.g., USDT), but lack robust reserves and oversight.
- Tokenized Deposits: Safer than stablecoins but face adoption hurdles without regulatory parity.
- CBDCs: Retail CBDCs need privacy solutions; wholesale CBDCs excel in interbank settlements.
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2. Securities Tokenization
- Stocks: Limited liquidity uplift; firms prefer traditional exchanges over ATS platforms.
- Bonds: Institutional OTC trading persists; tokenization enhances cash flow visibility but not secondary liquidity.
Common Challenges:
- Custody preferences favor intermediaries.
- Regulatory boundaries (e.g., accredited investors) remain rigid.
3. Funds and Investment Products
- ETFs and私募 funds see niche benefits (e.g., LP secondary markets), but most funds lack tokenized secondary trading demand.
4. RWA Tokenization
- Ownership Tokenization: Stymied by asset authentication (e.g., art, real estate).
- Revenue Tokenization: Gains traction (e.g., tokenized EV charging revenue), but competes with REITs and faces standardization issues.
Policy Recommendations
- Monetary Systems: Strengthen stablecoin regulations to mitigate risks; accelerate CBDC pilots.
- Securities: Focus tokenization on post-trade efficiency, not circumventing investor rules.
- RWAs: Prioritize revenue-rights models over ownership tokenization for illiquid assets.
FAQs
Q1: Can tokenization bypass securities regulations?
No. "Same activity, same risk" principles apply, requiring compliance with existing frameworks.
Q2: Do tokenized stocks improve IPO prospects?
Unlikely. Liquidity depends on exchange prestige and investor base, not tokenization alone.
Q3: Why is RWA tokenization challenging?
Physical assets require costly audits and custody solutions, often negating tokenization benefits.
Q4: Are CBDCs replacing stablecoins?
Not immediately. Stablecoins fill gaps in cross-border payments, but CBDCs offer safer alternatives long-term.
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This analysis underscores tokenization’s potential while cautioning against one-size-fits-all adoption. Strategic alignment with asset-specific traits and regulatory realities is paramount.