BlockBeats reported on July 2 that Standard Chartered has reaffirmed its bullish Bitcoin price prediction in its latest mid-2025 outlook report. The bank forecasts Bitcoin reaching $135,000 by September** and maintains its **year-end target of $200,000 - nearly doubling from July 3's price of $107,800.
The 3 Catalysts Driving Bitcoin's Growth
According to Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered's Head of Digital Assets Research, three powerful forces will converge to create Bitcoin's strongest USD-denominated rally in history:
- Spot ETF inflows: Accelerating institutional adoption through regulated investment vehicles
- Corporate treasury demand: Growing allocations from business balance sheets
- Policy tailwinds: Regulatory clarity improving investor confidence
Institutional Demand Outpacing Historical Cycles
The bank's analysis reveals a crucial shift in market dynamics:
"While MicroStrategy's accumulation pace has slowed recently, Q2 data shows new institutional buyers are more than compensating for any temporary demand gaps," Kendrick noted. "We expect corporate treasury purchases in Q3 will exceed Q2 levels, creating sustained upward pressure."
Unlike previous cycles driven by post-halving supply shocks, current price action reflects:
- New capital channels (ETFs/corporate buying) absent in earlier cycles
- Weaker long-term holder selling compared to historical patterns
- Sufficient liquidity to absorb profit-taking
The Critical Bond Market Indicator
Kendrick highlights the 10-year Treasury term premium as a crucial macroeconomic indicator:
- Bitcoin price movements have shown strong correlation with this metric since 2024
- Standard Chartered projects continued rises in term premium
- This suggests ongoing institutional interest in Bitcoin as an alternative asset
Market Outlook and Trajectory
Standard Chartered's projection implies:
| Timeline | Price Target | Growth Factor |
|---|---|---|
| Sept 2025 | $135,000 | +25% from current |
| Dec 2025 | $200,000 | +85% from current |
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Frequently Asked Questions
Why is Standard Chartered so bullish on Bitcoin?
Their optimism stems from three structural changes: institutional ETF inflows, corporate adoption, and clearer regulations - creating demand sources that didn't exist in previous cycles.
How reliable are these price predictions?
While speculative, the bank's analysis differs from typical crypto hype by incorporating measurable institutional flows and macroeconomic indicators like bond market data.
What risks could derail this outlook?
Potential obstacles include regulatory setbacks, macroeconomic shocks reducing risk appetite, or unexpected selling pressure from large holders.
How does this compare to 2021's bull run?
The current cycle features more mature institutional participation rather than retail-driven speculation, suggesting potentially more sustainable growth.
Why focus on corporate treasury demand?
Corporate allocations represent sticky, long-term holdings rather than speculative positions - creating more stable price support.
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Conclusion: A New Era for Bitcoin
Standard Chartered's reiterated forecast underscores Bitcoin's evolving role in global finance. As traditional financial institutions increasingly engage with digital assets through regulated channels, the convergence of ETF flows, corporate adoption, and favorable policies appears poised to drive unprecedented price appreciation through 2025.