Bitcoin (BTC) "Weak Hands" Sell 15,000 BTC at a Loss: Will Bitcoin Price Drop Below $100K?

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Key Takeaways:


Bitcoin (BTC) has shown relative stability this week as geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, coupled with pre-FOMC meeting uncertainty, led investors to adopt a wait-and-see approach. Beneath this calm, CryptoQuant's on-chain data reveals a significant trend: short-term holders (STHs) moved over 15,000 BTC at a loss.

Glassnode reports that 959 BTC were transferred to exchanges at a loss on Monday, surging to 16,700 BTC by Wednesday—aligning with BTC's drop from $106,500 to $103,500. Analysts note this reflects a recurring pattern: "weak hands" (short-term holders) often panic-sell during dips, crystallizing losses.

This sell-off indicates heightened STH activity during corrections. As these coins transition to long-term holders (LTHs) or "strong hands," the market stabilizes, forming a more resilient price foundation.

Notably, STH-held supply has declined, especially post-significant drops. This reduction in weak-handed pressure creates accumulation opportunities, potentially signaling an emerging price bottom.


STH-LTH Net Position Changes

CryptoQuant's STH-LTH net position chart highlights STHs' aggressive selling over the past month. Crucially, LTHs absorbed most of these sales, likely pivotal in maintaining BTC above $100K.


Bitcoin Navigates a "Blind Spot" Amid Demand Uncertainty

Swissblock analytics describe Bitcoin as traversing a market "blind spot." Since June, negative spot volume divergence suggests lingering sell pressure despite price rebounds. While downward momentum eases, prolonged consolidation may precede a breakout, contingent on demand recovery.

Short-term support levels derived from STHs' on-chain cost basis point to $97,000–$94,000 as a potential local bottom. This zone could clear key liquidation levels below $100K and retest fair-value gaps (FVG) and daily order blocks.


FAQs

Q: Why do short-term holders sell BTC at a loss?
A: STHs often panic during volatility, prioritizing immediate liquidity over long-term gains, which exacerbates price dips.

Q: How do long-term holders stabilize Bitcoin's price?
A: LTHs absorb sold coins, reducing circulating supply and creating firmer support levels. 👉 Learn more about hodler behavior.

Q: What factors could push BTC below $100K?
A: Geopolitical unrest, regulatory news, or macroeconomic shifts may trigger sell-offs, but strong LTH accumulation often mitigates severe drops.

Q: Is $94K–$97K a reliable support zone?
A: On-chain metrics and historical data suggest so, but external shocks can override technical levels. 👉 Track real-time BTC support.


Disclaimer: This article does not contain investment advice. All trading involves risk; conduct independent research before deciding.


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